Define the idea
Set the asset, direction, target, assessment day or horizon, reasoning and sources. State conviction, catalyst and invalidation clearly.
INSIDER / THESIS GUIDE An invitation-only research community
From an idea to a traceable thesis.
A thesis is more than “up” or “down.” It brings reasoning, a target, a horizon and invalidation conditions into one record.
Review and lock
Review the terms before locking. Original conditions stay fixed after the lock; later commentary does not change them.
Wait for the right time
Each model has its own assessment timing and evidence requirements. The new stock model uses only the target day’s regular session. An earlier touch is not enough.
Review evidence and outcome
The outcome comes with its source, target session and price evidence. Missing data keeps an outcome pending; no points come from invented prices.
DENEY ALANI / LAB
Change the conditions.
See what changes.
A fictional upward stock thesis: starting value 100, target 110, invalidation 95. Change the session high and low below.
ENTIRELY FICTIONAL
Target-session price range
ILLUSTRATIVE OUTCOME
+20Target reached
The target was reached; invalidation was not.
KANIT / EVIDENCE
Not a deadline.
A verification process.
09:00 Istanbul time is the start of stock-thesis checks, not a promise that an outcome will be ready then.
At least 48 hours
The planned stock model includes a safety wait after the target session closes.
Verified daily record
Points require verified regular-session evidence and split checks.
Unknown order stays uncertain
When both levels appear in the daily bar, their order is unknown; the example scores 0.
YOUR NEXT STEP Invitation-only iOS testing
Let your ideas speak.
Let the record show.
It starts with a valid invitation and official test access. Ask the team about joining.